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Egypt: Two Years of a Shrunken State

27/1/2013

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I love this blog - it's fantastic for keeping up to date with what's going on in the middle east.  Here's a great summary of what's been going on in Egypt since the revolution: what's changed, and what ways forward are possible.
"...  Still, consensus -- for all the hurdles it must overcome -- remains the most likely way out. For all its political polarization, Egypt still has a genuine abhorrence for violence that makes a civil war unlikely -- for now. The experience with one dictatorship means that the country may be reluctant to go back to another, and this makes a coup unlikely -- for now...  Every year in which the protests continue, traffic is paralyzed, the pound devalues, and voters shake their heads at the flames and bodies on their television screen increases a public desire for some resolution, any resolution, at whatever cost. More widespread violence or a return to military rule, currently barely imaginable, may become real possibilities. This specter, the more likely it becomes, will bring Egypt's factions to work together to rebuild state authority. They still have some time."
http://www.arabist.net/blog/2013/1/27/two-years-of-a-shrunken-state.html
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